All Posts Tagged With: "Sentiment"

AAII Sentiment Survey: Bullish Sentiment Rises to a Six-Week High

June 14, 2012

Bullish sentiment rose to a six-week high, while bearish sentiment plunged in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey.

Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, jumped 6.6 percentage points to 34.0%....

18Jun2012 | | 0 comments | Continued

AAII Sentiment Survey: Bearish Sentiment above Average for 4th Week

December 8, 2011

Bullish sentiment rebounded in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey, but bearish sentiment stayed above average for the fourth consecutive week.

Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rebounded...

9Dec2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

(MA) Be Calmer Than Mr. Market – AAII Investor Update

The market can be finicky over the short term.

This has particularly been the case over the past few days, with stock prices fluctuating widely. Some stocks have been excessively volatile. Take Mastercard (MA), for instance. Shares of MA fell 10.6% on Monday, rebounded 10.6% on...

15Aug2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

(COP) Dividends Are a Good Source of Income – Finding High (and Rising) Dividends

These may be the times that try men’s souls, but this is also the sort of time when long-term investors can snatch up great bargains. What do I mean by a great bargain? A good solid company selling at a low valuation.

The reason you buy stocks is that they represent partial interest in a...

10Aug2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

(XRT) Report Shows U.S. Consumer is Alive and Kicking

On Thursday, I wrote a piece titled “The Seven ‘C’s’ of Recovery Optimism” with my last, and possibly weakest, point for the continuing...

18Jul2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

(SPY) Market Future Tied to The Debt Ceiling Debate

The fundamental backing for the market continues to be solid. It is important to keep your eyes on the prize.

There is lots of news out there, and much of it is more dramatic than earnings results, but rarely does it have more significance for your portfolio. Earning are — and are going...

5Jul2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

(AA) A Week of Macro Indicators

Fresh from an extended 4th of July weekend, traders and investors must re-engage the markets and their myriad questions — debt ceiling getting raised? Greek bailout? etc. — to hopefully better navigate the turbulence that has claimed the trading market all season thus far.

Earnings...

5Jul2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Stocks to Remain Tentative

Stocks will continue to fret about economic growth and the Greek drama as June comes to an end this week. On the economic front, the most important report this week will be the June ISM Manufacturing report on Friday, though there are a number of housing and confidence related reports on the docket...

27Jun2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Optimism Jumps, But Pessimism Stays High – AAII Sentiment Survey

Bullish sentiment jumped 8.5 percentage points to 37.5% in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. This is an eight-week high for optimism that stock prices will rise over the next six months. It is also, however, the 10th consecutive week that bullish sentiment has been below its historical average of...

24Jun2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

What to Expect from The Federal Reserve Meeting

The Fed is meeting tomorrow and Wednesday, and on Wednesday afternoon, it will announce the decision on the Fed Funds rate and release the policy statement, followed by a Ben Bernanke news conference. What do I expect?

Soft Data – Falling Revisions Ratios

The first quarter earnings season is done. Net income growth was 17.12%. While that is down from the extremely strong 30.9% the same 495 of the S&P 500 firms posted in the fourth quarter, it is still a very strong growth rate.

Almost all of the growth slowdown is from a failure of the Financial...

22Jun2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Stocks to Remain Tentative$$

The favorable labor market and housing reports on Thursday notwithstanding, it is becoming clear that we will have to wait at least a few more weeks before expecting a trend shift in the nation’s economic fortunes. Add to this questions about China’s growth outlook, the debt-ceiling debate...

19Jun2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Bullish Sentiment Rebounds; Bearish Sentiment Stays Unusually High – AAII Sentiment Survey

June 16, 2011

Bullish sentiment rebounded in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Optimism that stock prices will rise over the next six months rose 4.6 percentage points to 29.0%. Despite the improvement, this is the ninth consecutive week that bullish sentiment is below its historical average...

16Jun2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

(PCE) Personal Income and Savings Both Rise 0.4%

In March, Personal Income rose 0.4%, matching from the 0.4% rise in both February and March, but only after the March numbers were revised down from a rise of 0.5%. The increase was in line with the consensus expectation of a 0.4% increase.

Meanwhile, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)...

29May2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

(BAC) Credit Card Risks Linger

Are U.S. credit card users protected now? The answer depends on the type of credit card they are holding. If it’s a small business credit card, which is easily available for customers who do not own even a small business, the risk of facing awful practices by credit card companies is huge. A...

28May2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

(DELL) Market Demonstrates Strong Earnings Reports

With nothing major on the economic calendar today, stocks will likely struggle to gain traction, with macro concerns dominating the market discourse. We do have a number of positive earnings reports from household names that may help improve sentiment after days of market weakness.

We had a...

28May2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Key Fundamental Market Questions

Early May is beset by a “Flight to Safety” trade. That may be hard to see from the modest losses of the S&P 500 the past couple days. However, as I write this article the riskier/smaller cap stocks of the Russell 2000 are down 3% since Monday morning. So quite likely your more aggressive positions...

4May2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Federal Reserve Statement Decoded

The Federal Reserve just finished its meeting, and as was universally expected, it kept the Fed Funds rate at the 0 to 0.25% range where it has been since December 2008. The real action since then has been in the policy statement and the changes in the language of it.

Below, I present the...

3May2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Overvaluation Figures Reaching Critical Levels – ValuEngine.com Universe

VALUATION WATCH: Our models find that overvaluation is approaching critical levels. Overvalued stocks now make up almost 62% of our universe and 30% of the universe is calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. All Sectors are calculated to be overvalued

Valuation Watch

ValuEngine.com...

2May2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

(BA) U.S. Federal Reserve in Focus Today

Investors will have a lot to digest today. In addition to earnings reports from a host of major companies, we got a solid March Durable Good report that was broadly inline with expectations

Beyond the U.S. shores, we got a lackluster GDP growth report from the U.K., and a rating agency downgraded...

27Apr2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Is Rangebound – April 14, 2011

Bullish sentiment slipped 1.4 percentage points to 42.2% in the latest AAII sentiment survey. Optimism that stock prices will rise over the next months stayed within a two percentage point range for the third consecutive week. The historical average is 39%.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that...

14Apr2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

April 7, 2011 – Bullish Sentiment at a 7-Week High – AAII Sentiment Survey

Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, improved 1.8 percentage points to 43.6% in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. This was the third consecutive weekly increase and it puts optimism at a seven-week high. The historical average is 39%.

Neutral...

7Apr2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

March 31, 2011 – Bullish Sentiment Improved – AAII Sentiment Survey

Bullish sentiment improved 4.1 percentage points to 41.8% in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. This is the first time optimism that stock prices will rise over the next six months has been above its historical average of 39% since February 17, 2011.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock...

31Mar2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Mar 29: Consumer Confidence Fall – Economic Highlights

The Consumer Confidence Index decreased to 63.4 (1985=100) in March after increasing to 72.0 in February from 64.8 in January. The index was expected to decrease with the consensus at 63.9. The Present...

29Mar2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Overvaluation Data from our Latest ValuEngine Valuation Watch

The ValuEngine Valuation Model tracks more than 5000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stock which trade on US exchanges. The model calculates a level of mispricing or valuation percentage for each equity based on what the stock should be worth if the market were totally rational and efficient–an...

17Mar2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Volatility – Investors Split About Short-Term Outlook for Stocks – AAII Sentiment Survey

Bullish sentiment slipped 0.8 percentage points to 36.0% in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Optimism that stock prices will rise over the next six months is at its lowest level since September 2, 2010. The historical average is 39%.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices...

10Mar2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Bullish Sentiment Below 50% for Third Time in 4 Weeks – AAII Sentiment Survey

Bullish sentiment declined 2.8 percentage points to 46.6% in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. This is the third time in four weeks that optimism has been below 50%. Nonetheless, bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, was above its historical average...

17Feb2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

AAII Investor Sentiment Survey

Bullish sentiment declined 2.1 percentage points to 49.4% in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Optimism that stock prices will rise over the next six months was above its historical average of 39% for the 23rd consecutive week. This is the second longest such streak since 2004. (Bullish sentiment...

10Feb2011 | | 0 comments | Continued

Bullish Sentiment Dips, But Still at High Levels – 30 December 2010 – AAII Sentiment Survey

Bullish sentiment fell in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey, but still remains at high levels. The percentage of individual investors expecting stocks to rise over the next six months fell 11.7 percentage points to 51.6%. This is the 17th consecutive week that bullish sentiment has been above...

30Dec2010 | | 0 comments | Continued

(PCE) Income, Spending and Savings All Rise

In October, Personal Income rose 0.5%, a nice improvement over the 0.0% change in September, and matching the 0.5% increase in August. It was also above the consensus expectation of a 0.4% increase.

In addition, we got upward revisions to both the September and August numbers of +0.1 each....

19Dec2010 | | 0 comments | Continued