August 5, 2010 – AAII Sentiment Survey: Bearish Sentiment Stays Above Its Historical Average

August 5th, 2010

Bullish sentiment, expectations that stocks will rise over the next six months, fell 9.6 percentage points to 30.4% in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. The historical average is 39%.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that stocks will stay essentially flat over the next six months, rose 4.7 percentage points to 31.4%. The historical average is 31%.

Bearish sentiment, expectations that stocks will fall over the next six months, rose 4.9 percentage points to 38.2%. The historical average is 30%.

The survey’s results show a continuation of the trend we have been seeing throughout the summer: individual investors’ confidence in the market is fragile. Bearish sentiment remained above its historical average for the 13th consecutive week as many investors still do not expect a rebound in stock prices over the foreseeable future.

This week’s AAII Sentiment Survey results:

  • Bullish: 30.4%, -9.6 percentage points
  • Neutral: 31.4%, +4.7 percentage points
  • Bearish: 38.2%, +4.9 percentage points

Long-term averages:

  • Bullish: 39%
  • Neutral: 31%
  • Bearish: 30%

The survey and its results are available online at: http://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey

A copy of this press release is available online at: http://www.aaii.com/news/archives/20100805.cfm

An RSS feed for the AAII Sentiment Survey is also available (note this is a new url):  http://www.aaii.com/files/rss/sentiment.xml

Charles Rotblut, CFA
Vice President and AAII Journal Editor
American Association of Individual Investors
P: (312) 676-4337
F: (312) 676-4387
charles@aaii.com
http://www.aaii.com
http://twitter.com/charlesrotblut

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