(CIG) Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais Depends on Sales Volume

Recently, Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais, or CEMIG (CIG) posted results for the fourth quarter and year 2009. Net income for the quarter was R$434 million (US$248 million), up from R$246 million (US$107.4 million) in the same quarter of 2008 based on a 22.0% increase in net revenues during the quarter.

EPS was R$0.70 or 40 cents compared to R$0.57 or 25 cents in the same quarter of 2008. Reported EPADR also surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 37 cents.

Net revenues reached R$3,370 million (US$1,925.7 million), up from R$2,754 million (US$1,202.6 million) in the fourth quarter of 2008. The increase was due to the 7.0 % rise in total sales volume.

Operating expenses during the quarter increased 23.0% year over year, mainly due to higher personnel expenses and the increase in cost of electricity bought for resale. EBITDA increased from R$947 million (US$413.5 million) in the year-ago quarter to R$1,104 million (US$631.0 million) in the reported quarter.

During 2009, net income was R$1,861 million (US$925.9 million), almost flat compared to the year-ago level of R$1,887 million (US$1,025.5 million). EPS was R$3.00 or US$1.49, down from R$3.81 or US$2.07 in 2008. 2009 EPADR was slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of US$1.55.

Net revenues were R$11,705 million (US$5,823.4 million), up from R$10,890 million (US$5,918.5 million) in the previous year.

Sales volume to final consumers decreased 6.37% year over year. The main reason for the decrease was lower industry consumption by 15% compared to 2008, based on migration of captive consumers to the free market, and also a reduction in demand from industrial companies, specifically in metals and mining sectors. However, total sales volume increased 2.0% year over year.

Operating expenses increased 12.0% year over year, while EBITDA almost remained flat at R$4,039 million (US$2,009.5 million) in 2009 compared to R$4,099 million (US$2,227.7 million) in the previous year.

At the end of the fourth quarter of 2009, the company reported a net debt of R$6,869 million (US$2,961 million), up from R$5,059 at the end of 2008 and also up from R$5,300 million at the end of the previous quarter.

The favorable outlook of CEMIG reflects the positive potential for electricity demand in Brazil, which is expected to rise by 4.5% on average in the coming years. We maintain our Neutral recommendation on CEMIG.

Zacks Investment Research

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