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(NWD) 9 Top China Plays

March 13th, 2009

Every now and then I like to give guest authors a chance to share their views either on the stocks that I already cover, or names that I don’t, but that I feel would benefit my readers. Some of these author’s viewpoints agree with mine, and some don’t.

I feel that the more information you have about a particular company, stock or the market in general, the better decisions you can make regarding your investments and what actions you should take in regards to those investments.

Today’s guest author is Glen Bradford, he runs his own blog, GlenBradford.com.

Glen is an MBA at Purdue University that’s investing his entire college tuition in the stock market.

He writes for seekingalpha.com and stockpickr.com and I like his approach to investing and feel that it gives us another angle when looking for new places to park our money.

Please note that this is not a formal recommendation, just an information piece designed to allow you access to companies that I might never cover, but that are worth a look for your portfolio.

9 Top China Plays

By Guest Columnist: Glen Bradford, GlenBradford.com

The financial crisis has sent the markets plummeting. For those who believe that companies that make more money than other companies should be priced higher than other companies, boy do I have some bargain bin deals for you. In the past 6 months, I’ve hand sorted through over 5000 companies. The steals are all in China.

1) China Architectural Engineering (NASDAQ: CAEI) specializes in high-end curtain wall systems (including glass, stone and metal curtain walls), roofing systems, steel construction systems, eco-energy saving building conservation systems and related products, for public works and commercial real estate projects.

The company just got added to the Halter USX China Index.

Trading at $37.24M with a book value of $78.2M for a company that does specialty construction projects looks like a steal, especially when they made $22.6M in the first 9 quarters of 2008.

They lowered their guidance for Q4/2008 and they are eating some cost overruns. Recent news includes that they were awarded two new contracts for projects valued at $80 million in Dubai and Singapore.

The company also reported that its project backlog has increased to a new record of $245M.

2) China Yongxin Pharmaceuticals (OTC BB: CYXN) has three segments: the wholesale of pharmaceuticals and other medical-related products, the operation of retail drugstores, and the cultivation, processing of ginseng.

Currently trading at $2.19M when they made $4.0M in the first 3 quarters of 2008 and $2.6M in the first 3 quarters of 2007 is absurd. Not to mention that the book value is $12.5M.

Yongxin also just put up a new, more flashy website. The investor message boards were very concerned when their old website went down. I sat by and let the people who don’t understand website development sell out. Same thing happened with New Dragon Asia (NWD) below.

3) New Dragon Asia (OTC BB: NWD) is engaged in the milling, sale and distribution of flour and related products, including instant noodles and soybean-derived products, to retail and wholesale customers throughout China. I find trading at $9.14M with a book value of $74M mildly entertaining. The company made $14.12M in 2008.

In my opinion, investors are shaky because their operating margins got squeezed by the ridiculous expansion in commodity prices. Good news, the whole bubble collapsed. As I see it, this is an opportunity for the company to make some huge numbers in 2009, not to mention that they’ve been religious about growing revenues over the past 5 years with high predictability.

Their website crashed about a month ago and the stock price hit the chopping block, getting cut by more than half. Look for the catalyst at $0.83 of the Halter USX China Index.

4) Gold Horse International (OTC BB: GHII) is principally engaged in three business sectors in China: construction, residential and commercial real estate development, and management and operation of the Inner Mongolia Jin Ma Hotel.

Top line revenue guidance for 2009 is $90M and the company is priced at $2.63M.

In 2008, they made $4.53M on revenues of $66.91M. The book value is about $25M. Gold Horse is located in Hohhot, China; a city that has been growing at 23.5% for the past 7 years.

Gold Horse has contracted to build a wind power manufacturing plant. This company is located in the middle of china, not on the outskirts where the exports have fallen and hurt the economy.

There are two issues that I see. The first is that their cash is low and they are burning through cash to maintain operations. The second is that there are some big shareholders that look to be slowly selling the stock down.

View original at: PeakStocks.com